I think building a space elevator would be technically possible within the next 100 years. But the prospect doesn't excite me, because of some fundamental issues that I'm not sure elevator enthusiasts address satisfactorily.
The main issue to me is that a space elevator by necessity must be situated on the equator, and must pass through the most valuable near-earth space. Collision with a space elevator would be a global disaster, (as depicted in Kim Stanley Robinson's Mars books).
I've seen discussion of "plucking" the tether so that it oscillates back and forth, allowing things to pass by its "straight up" path. But that seems like it could work for 1) only a very few (at most) 2) very well-characterized objects.
The bottom line is that an elevator seems to me to be an "all-or-nothing" solution that requires a kind of global social and political control over space access that just doesn't seem either feasible or desirable.
I'd be curious to know what others on the forum think of this problem.
GB
The main issue to me is that a space elevator by necessity must be situated on the equator, and must pass through the most valuable near-earth space. Collision with a space elevator would be a global disaster, (as depicted in Kim Stanley Robinson's Mars books).
I've seen discussion of "plucking" the tether so that it oscillates back and forth, allowing things to pass by its "straight up" path. But that seems like it could work for 1) only a very few (at most) 2) very well-characterized objects.
The bottom line is that an elevator seems to me to be an "all-or-nothing" solution that requires a kind of global social and political control over space access that just doesn't seem either feasible or desirable.
I'd be curious to know what others on the forum think of this problem.
GB