I think Aries will get canned, or be reduced to a paltry shadow that is ineffective and go away. I have no hope anymore of seeing real manned spaceflight (to somewhere) in my lifetime anymore, unless the Chinese do it.
I really have not seen any clear mission-goal timetable for Aries I.
I just don't see how they can pull this off at 16 billion a year. I do feel (strongly) that merely doubling a budget for Nasa would result in a much quicker recoup in taxes and fiscal security than the 700 billion bailout package could hope to get. I think Nasa's total expendatures since 1958 have been about 400 billion in todays dollars, right? By next year, Iraq will have cost 800 billion, right? Someone please explain priorities to me?
I'm 40 years old. Manned exploration of space (leo is exploration of Earth which we have done quite a lot already) happened just after i was born, and ended before I started talking. 40 years of fandom, and never been to a concert!
What would it be LIKE? How would it feel to watch a live, full-color broadcast of folks visiting and colonizing the moon, much less actually operating on Mars. What effect would it have on people? The media world of 1969 and today is so radically different. I can't imagine that it would not have a net benefit for the species as a whole. Such an act would have to inspire both sober and crackpot interest and development. That means jobs, hope, outlet, and entertainment that actually MEANS something.
Face it: "Science" and "History" cable channels in the US are mostly interested in religion, ghosts, UFO's and gang violence. "Science fiction" is now a synonym for vampire serials. We could use something inspiring and real. Why do we need that? Because without interest, you have no involvement. Right now, you have students interested in vampires, not reality.