I would add:
4. Theory Fourth. Blindness: We are not the One, or the Few, we are just one of many but our technologies are still to primitive to see them, or we are looking in the wrong places, or at the wrong frequencies, or distances are too great and "the many" too scattered in a galaxy with 100,000,000,000 stars.
Or, rather than assume that we are too primitive to see them, perhaps they are too "primitive" to be seen. Must an intelligent race have high technology? Is our kind of technology really the mark of high intelligence? I suppose the answer depends on when you ask the question - before or after the H-bombs go off, or the glaciers melt. Wouldn't it be logical to assume that the highest intelligence would express itself through a discreet sustainability which would be invisible at a distance? I can imagine our galaxy teeming with Zen-like, inward-looking master races. Those few Galactic Intelligences who thoughtlessly choose our brand of Onward and Upward! high-technology invariably hit the Great Filter.
4. Theory Fourth. Blindness: We are not the One, or the Few, we are just one of many but our technologies are still to primitive to see them, or we are looking in the wrong places, or at the wrong frequencies, or distances are too great and "the many" too scattered in a galaxy with 100,000,000,000 stars.
Or, rather than assume that we are too primitive to see them, perhaps they are too "primitive" to be seen. Must an intelligent race have high technology? Is our kind of technology really the mark of high intelligence? I suppose the answer depends on when you ask the question - before or after the H-bombs go off, or the glaciers melt. Wouldn't it be logical to assume that the highest intelligence would express itself through a discreet sustainability which would be invisible at a distance? I can imagine our galaxy teeming with Zen-like, inward-looking master races. Those few Galactic Intelligences who thoughtlessly choose our brand of Onward and Upward! high-technology invariably hit the Great Filter.