Updates Orbital Sciences' Cygnus CRS Flight 1 through Flight 8 updates.

So, my uninformed analysis :tiphat::
1) there's a vent valve that is pulsing just after liftoff... tank overpressurization? (could be nominal)
2) exhaust changes color and brights a lot just before the "BUM". Seems to indicate a change in mixture ratio to the LOX side, hotter combustion, metal melts....

Not sure how/if these 2 observations relate to each other.

I think that vent pulsing is nominal. That's the first thing I noticed on the replay (thinking O-ring, etc.), but I looked at an earlier Antares launch video and saw the same thing.

I was surprised no launch self-destruct occurred. Maybe it was too low?
 
In the press conference they are implying that they used the self destruct, but at that altitude and with the camera angles we have its hard to say.
 
This investigation will be lead by Orbital, why is Orbital doing the investigation into their own launch failure and not somebody else? In case of an aviation incident you don't get American Airlines investigating but the NTSB. Why isn't that the case for spaceflight incidents?
 
This investigation will be lead by Orbital, why is Orbital doing the investigation into their own launch failure and not somebody else? In case of an aviation incident you don't get American Airlines investigating but the NTSB. Why isn't that the case for spaceflight incidents?

I heard on the loop after the explosion that the NTSB may be involved.
 
"Shares of Orbital Sciences fell nearly 15% to $25.85 in the hours following the explosion."

Also, Doppler radar image for fun:
B1EZZeiCcAAHH4w.png

https://twitter.com/mattdanielwx/status/527230563292160000/photo/1
 
You will not go to space today.
 
Jesus... I come home from work to find this. Looks like the port engine completely evaporated. Just like that last failed test fire.

What a mess.
 
This investigation will be lead by Orbital, why is Orbital doing the investigation into their own launch failure and not somebody else? In case of an aviation incident you don't get American Airlines investigating but the NTSB. Why isn't that the case for spaceflight incidents?

Probably because spaceflight incidents don't routinely involve people casualties? And there's no such universal oveseeing body?

Damn, what did wake me up this time! :facepalm:
 
The sad thing many have likely missed is in the news here.

When that rocket was launched successfully, it was called an American rocket with Russian engines, or russian part wasn't mentioned at all.

When it blew up, it suddenly became an American rocket with Ukrainian engines.
Which is technically true, since the manufacturer is now in Ukraine, but still - :facepalm:.
 
The sad thing many have likely missed is in the news here.

When that rocket was launched successfully, it was called an American rocket with Russian engines, or russian part wasn't mentioned at all.

When it blew up, it suddenly became an American rocket with Ukrainian engines.
Which is technically true, since the manufacturer is now in Ukraine, but still - :facepalm:.

Practically, it is a US rocket with US certified engines (once made by a Russian, long ago).... all the rest is just noise from uninvolved.

Still, there is the question, what kind of trouble happened there - the first explosion happened before any health management had a chance to react. There is a small amount of flickering in the engine exhaust before it exploded, so it might have had a turbopump failure.
 
One theory i seen around here is that the flame from the engine wasn't diverted properly, so after ignition it got into the rocket briefly, damaging the wiring, just enough for it to fail a few seconds later.

No idea if that makes sense, you would think that the business end of a rocket will be fireproof.
 
All articles I read mentioned the Soviet-Ukrainian origin of the engines, both prior to the launch failure and after.

The interesting thing is how the flame colour changes prior to the explosion, sort of resembling the textbook "fuel rich" flame.
 
All articles I read mentioned the Soviet-Ukrainian origin of the engines, both prior to the launch failure and after.

The interesting thing is how the flame colour changes prior to the explosion, sort of resembling the textbook "fuel rich" flame.

I think there's a root cause there. It lends support towards the engine's oxygen turbopump possibly failing.
 
This investigation will be lead by Orbital, why is Orbital doing the investigation into their own launch failure and not somebody else? In case of an aviation incident you don't get American Airlines investigating but the NTSB. Why isn't that the case for spaceflight incidents?

I know some people that thought so. On the initial video, the radio said that NASA, Mars, and Orbital were to do the investigation together. NASA must trust them enough, they have to, especially if their commercial companies are going to launch NASA astronauts into space. Well, I agree. Is there a company for rocket failures, or is NASA all of that?
 
Back
Top