Launch News (Failure) Phobos-Grunt and YingHuo-1 atop Zenit-2 on November 8/9, 2011

Karma has nothing to do there. They knew it wouldn't work (or it had to be completely rebuilt), were out of funds and decided to get rid of it, it was taking a lot of room in the hangar since 20 years. At least it was the opportunity to enhance the reliability of the Zenit-2, which performed perfectly.

:rofl:

Chinese were very naïve there (surprising), or it was just another mischevious plan of satellite insurance fraud (more believable).

More like there's no other choice: the Americans would refuse to carry it at any cost, while the other players in the field (Europeans/Japanese) have no Mars missions for the next few years. The Chinese have the ability to launch it directly towards Mars, but they lack the DSN for tracking and relaying data, so the only option is to hop on a non-American Mars mission, and that means the Phobos-Grunt. Mind you, I am not sure that the Chinese are too happy with the Russian way to Mars...
 
Hint: You can link to a specific time index:


Oh well, it only works on youtube directly, though. (just add &t=6m15s at the end)
 
SPACE.com: Russian Scientist Apologizes for Failed Mars Moon Mission:
In an open letter Thursday (Dec. 8), a prominent Russian scientist lamented the failure of the country's Phobos-Grunt spacecraft, which was meant to collect samples from Mars' moon Phobos, but instead is languishing in Earth orbit.

"We are deeply sorry about the failure" of Phobos-Grunt, wrote Lev Zelenyi, director of the Space Research Institute and Chair of the Russian Academy of Sciences' Solar System Exploration Board, in a letter to fellow scientists and mission team members. "We hope in [the] future to continue our collaboration on space science projects."

{...}

In yesterday's message, Zelenyi said the reason for the failure has yet to be determined. He saluted the dedicated efforts of the European Space Agency, NASA, as well as the U.S. military space trackers and amateur skywatchers that helped in efforts to establish communication with the wayward probe and to assist in determining the exact orbit, orientation and attitude of Phobos-Grunt.

{...}

Looking into the future, Zelenyi highlighted in the letter the next steps of the Russian space science agenda. Current plans, he said, call for robotic moon missions called Luna-Glob and Lunar-Resource, and discussions between Russia, ESA and NASA are under way regarding collaboration on the ExoMars and Russian Mars-NET missions to the Red Planet.

"Moreover, the Russian Academy of Sciences would like to prepare a new mission to Phobos," Zelenyi said, but no decision has yet been made on this undertaking.

{...}
 
Below is the full body of that letter:

The Planetary Society Blog: Phobos-Grunt: all but over, a letter from IKI:
December 8, 2011

Dear Colleagues,

As you may already know, the launch of the Phobos-Soil spacecraft was a failure. On November 8, 2011 the spacecraft was put into the near Earth orbit, however, the booster did not turn on, and, therefore, the spacecraft did not manage to change this initial orbit and transfer to the interplanetary trajectory. The reason of this failure has not been determined yet.

Immediately after this unpredictable event all forces of the mission control team were concentrated in order to attempt to establish communication with the spacecraft. Several foreign organizations, in particular, ESOC-ESA, DSN-JPL-NASA, NORAD-STRATCOM, numerous amateur observers tracked the spacecraft to establish communication with it and determine parameters of the orbit, its orientation and attitude. However, despite people being at work 24 / 7 since the launch, all these attempts have not yield any satisfactory results. We are grateful to our foreign colleagues, who provided us with every list of information about the spacecraft which was crucial at the time.

Currently, the spacecraft is rotating [tumbling] at the near Earth orbit, lowering every day, and we expect that it is to entry the atmosphere in several weeks. Lavochkin Association specialists will continue their attempts to establish connection with the spacecraft and send commands until the very end of its existence. We are working nevertheless on the issue of re-entry and probability of where and which fragments may hit the ground (if any). There is a sensitive matter that one of the scientific instruments (Messbauer spectrometer) contains radioactive material Co-57. However, the amount of Co-57 is about few (less than 10) micrograms, so that, according to our evaluations, no significant problems are is anticipated.

At present, the next steps of the Russian space science program on the Solar system exploration are being discussed. In accordance with the current plans, the next missions are Luna-Glob and Luna-Resource. As another possible additional step, at the moment ROSCOSMOS, ESA and NASA are discussing the collaboration on the ExoMars and Russian Mars-NET missions. Moreover, the Russian Academy of Sciences would like to prepare a new mission to Phobos. However, no decision has not been taken yet.

We would like to express our deep gratitude to You and all the scientists and specialists for collaboration on the Phobos-Soil Mission, preparation of scientific instruments and provision of ground support. We are deeply sorry about the failure of the Phobos-Soil Mission. We hope in future to continue our collaboration on space science projects.

Academician Lev Zelenyi
Director, Space Research Institute
Chair, Solar system exploration Board
The Russian Academy of Sciences


P.S. Please, convey this letter to members of your team. Thank you.
 
Parabolic Arc: It’s Dead, Jim! Roscosmos Begins Investigation of Phobos-Grunt Failure, Preps for Reentry:
{...}

On Saturday, Roscosmos announced the establishment of a commission to investigate the failure and a Defense Ministry task force to prepare for the uncontrolled re-entry of the satellite, which contains 7.5 tons of toxic fuel. The investigative commission with be headed by Yuri Koptev, who is chairman of the Scientific and Technical Council of State Corporation Russian Technologies. He formally headed up the Russian space agency when it was named Rosaviakosmos.

{...}
 
Universe Today: A Day in the Sun: Will It Make a Difference for Russia’s Phobos-Grunt?:
{...}

Beginning Tuesday, December 13 at 17:00 universal time (UT) to Wednesday December 14, 23:00, Phobos-Grunt will be in sunlight throughout its entire orbit. It is not completely clear whether or not ESA will attempt to contact the probe during this period from Perth, or Maspalomas. Although attempts from Maspalomas were made throughout last week, the same attempts were scheduled to end on Friday, December 9. On the other hand, in a letter informing scientists participating in the mission that failure was the outcome, Phobos-Grunt science director, Lev Zelenyi, wrote: “Lavochkin Association specialists will continue their attempts to establish connection with the spacecraft and send commands until the very end of its existence.” Thus, despite the fact that the Russian Grunt team now is focused on the issue of reentry, we should not be surprised if they ask ESA to make one more attempt on Tuesday.

{...}
 
RIA Novosti: ESA to resume attempts to contact Russia's failed Mars probe:
A ESA station will make two more attempts to contact Russia's troubled Phobos-Grunt spacecraft on Tuesday, the head of the ESA office in Moscow said.

The attempts will be performed by European Space Agency's 15-meter antenna in Maspalomas, a station in the southern part of the Canary Islands' Gran Canaria.

"We will make two more attempts on Tuesday on a request from the Russian side," Rene Pichel said.

{...}
 
Controlled entry. They just don't want to have this failure topped by debris spraying over a populated area.

I mean, once it has been established that the spacecraft doesn't respond to commands, what's the sense behind further trying to communicate to it, whatever is the reason for communication?

Controlled reentry is alone a task that required responding and controllable spacecraft. Which we don't have, in this case.

So just be sure to wear a hardhat on the day of Orthodox Christmas!
 
I mean, once it has been established that the spacecraft doesn't respond to commands, what's the sense behind further trying to communicate to it, whatever is the reason for communication?

Controlled reentry is alone a task that required responding and controllable spacecraft. Which we don't have, in this case.

So just be sure to wear a hardhat on the day of Orthodox Christmas!

Well, when ensuring people's safety, they'll try to do anything they can, including pray for a miracle and hope control is reestablished. I mean, wouldn't you do the same? Now, if something happens, they're at least on record as trying to the end, which would help any international debacle...
 
Finally, Roscosmos:

http://www.federalspace.ru/main.php?id=2&nid=18447

On the situation with "Phobos-Grunt" spacecraft

:: 16.12.2011


November 9, 2011 "Phobos-Grunt." was launched from Baikonur Cosmodrome. During ejecting to a an escape trajectory to Mars, an emergency situation happened - the spacecraft was not placed into an intermediate orbit.

At present "Phobos-Grunt" is in the low Earth orbit with the following parameters:

- Apogee - 275.7 km;

- Perigee - 201.3 km;

- Inclination - 51.46 degrees.;

- Period - 89.2 min.

Interagency Commission on the analysis of the causes of the abnormal situation that arose during flight testing of the spacecraft. Yuri Koptev - Chairman of the Scientific and Technical Council of State Corporation "Russian Technologies" is appointed Chairman. Commission members, who are representatives of organizations of rocket and space industry, institutions of Russian Academy of Sciences and Russian Defense Ministry will start their work on December 19.

The Interagency Commission will submit their preliminary conclusion to Roscosmos at the end of next year's January.

At the same time, a task force to monitor de-orbiting "Phobos-Grunt" spacecraft was formed.

Measurement of the orbital parameters is carried out daily, with both domestic (Air and Space Defense Army), and foreign means.

According to preliminary calculations, the time interval of the spacecraft's falling to Earth will cover the period from 6 to 19 January 2012, the land area stretches from 51.4 degrees Northern latitude to 51.4 degrees Southern latitude. Dispersion spot and the time of reentry will become able to be predicted not before a few days before the event.

There is a probability that pieces of churlish material in an amount of 20-30 units and a total mass less than 200 kilograms can reach Earth's surface. The propellant components of the of the spacecraft will burn in the dense atmosphere of Earth at an altitude of approximately 100 kilometers.

Radioisotope source (Cobalt-57), employed in one of the scientific instruments, has a small mass - 10 micrograms, a small half-life and will not cause dangerous contamination.

Dynamics of the deceleration of the spacecraft in Earth's atmosphere depends on a variety of technical and space factors, including those that can not be controlled by man. The primary one among them is the density of the atmosphere, which is under significant influence of solar activity.

Press Service of the Russian Space Agency
 
So, Phobos-Soil is about to became Earth-Plop after all.
Hopefully, not a plop on someone's head.
 
Back
Top